中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

歡迎會員在此言論自由論壇發表任何題材評論文章。題材跨越地域界限, 希望全球各地會員就當地發生的事與物, 踴躍發表你的評論。讓全球每個角落會員都能分享你言而有物、高水平的評論。會員發表的評論文章屬個人意見, 不代表本網站立場。
editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週二 12月 10, 2019 4:58 pm

China claims all Uighur Muslims have happily 'graduated' from its oppressive prison camp system, despite widespread reports that at least 1 million are detained
de8be1fe58e8ed06d609e2cf94b97d56.jpg
de8be1fe58e8ed06d609e2cf94b97d56.jpg (101.97 KiB) 已瀏覽 1037 次

China has imprisoned at least 1 million Uighur Muslims in prison-like detention camps in the western Xinjiang region, according to numerous activists and researchers.

Shohrat Zakir, the governor of Xinjiang, claimed without evidence on Monday that everyone in the camps, which China euphemistically calls "vocational training centers" is now out.

Zakir said everyone had now "graduated" from the facilities, where reports of psychological and physical torture are common.

He said all previous detainees now have stable employment and are leading happy lives.

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週三 12月 11, 2019 12:21 pm

12月15號增加15% 關稅暫緩執行?增加15% 關稅機會還是頗大
2019-12-11_09h06_59.jpg
2019-12-11_09h06_59.jpg (109.09 KiB) 已瀏覽 1033 次
2019-12-11_09h07_44.jpg
2019-12-11_09h07_44.jpg (78.27 KiB) 已瀏覽 1033 次


評:特朗普多次申明,12月15號前美中笫一階段協議未能簽署,他會如期加關稅。看來12月15號前簽署協議是不可能,增加關稅機會還是頗大。

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週五 12月 13, 2019 9:52 pm

眾多美媒已經意識到川普已經簽約貿易協議就是謠言

評:川普不可能已經簽約貿易協議,因為簽約貿易協議,川普要習近平面對面互簽。
協議內容體現出習近平接受了屈辱和投降條款。川普讓歩很少,絕大部分已加的關稅仍保留。

在正式簽約貿易協議前是否還有變數?
中共控制的傳媒大事宣傳稱中美已逹成協議是不確實的。川普推文稱是假新聞,減50%關稅是誤導。
事實上,只能說雙方逹成協議條款的意向。

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週六 12月 14, 2019 10:49 pm

How US-China trade deal achieved a little but left out a lot
13, 2019, 2:23 PM GMT+8
WASHINGTON (AP) — The limited trade deal that the Trump administration and Beijing announced Friday means Americans will avoid a holiday tax increase on imported toys, clothing and smartphones. U.S. farmers can sell more soybeans and pork to China. And American companies should face less pressure to hand over trade secrets to Beijing.

But what the administration gained from the so-called Phase 1 deal that President Donald Trump celebrated falls well short of the demands the president issued when he launched a trade war against Beijing 17 months ago. Further rounds of negotiations will be required to achieve a more significant agreement.

Still, Friday's preliminary agreement managed to at least defuse a conflict that had put investors on edge and slowed economic growth entering an election year in which Trump plans to campaign, at least in part, on America's prosperity.

Under the agreement, the Trump administration dropped its plan to impose new tariffs on $160 billion of Chinese imports beginning Sunday — a tax that would have likely led to higher prices on many consumer goods. The administration also agreed to reduce its existing import taxes on about $112 billion in Chinese goods from 15% to 7.5%.

In return, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer told reporters, China agreed to buy $40 billion a year in U.S. farm products over two years, even though U.S. agricultural exports to China have never topped $26 billion a year. In addition, Beijing committed to ending a long-standing practice of pressuring companies to hand over their technology as a condition of gaining access to the Chinese market.

Lighthizer said China also agreed to lift certain barriers to its market for such products as beef, poultry, seafood, pet food and animal feed.

In all, the U.S. expects a $200 billion boost in exports over two years as a result of the deal.

"We expect the trade deficit to go down for sure," Lighthizer said, adding that the agreement will likely be signed the first week in January and take effect 30 days later.

``Everything is written," he said. “Everything is completely finished.”

Yet the administration released no detailed paperwork on the agreement. And it said the text was still being translated between Chinese and English. In the past, the two sides had appeared to be close to firm agreements only to see negotiations fall apart.

At the same time, the Phase 1 agreement leaves some major issues unresolved, notably complaints that Beijing unfairly subsidizes its own companies to give them a competitive edge in world markets.

Many trade analysts said the agreement amounted to a mixed bag.

“This deal should go a long way in reversing the downward spiral in bilateral trade relations and increasing certainty for U.S. businesses," said Wendy Cutler, a former U.S. trade negotiator who is now vice president at the Asia Society Policy Institute.

But, she cautioned, ``it’s unclear on how far the Phase 1 agreement goes in addressing the key structural issues that brought the U.S. to the negotiating table 17 months ago.''

Other analysts were harsher.

“With only limited concessions, China has been able to preserve its mercantilist economic system and continue its discriminatory industrial policies at the expense of China’s trading partners and the global economy," said Scott Kennedy, a China specialist at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

“Trump could reverse course and renew tariffs. But Beijing has bought itself a likely respite from the daily uncertainty for at least a few months and perhaps for the remainder of Trump’s current term.”

Trump had first announced a Phase 1 deal back on Oct. 11, but negotiations continued for two more months. The president, who announced the latest agreement via Twitter, said that work on a follow-up Phase 2 agreement would begin immediately.

His announcement came minutes after the House Judiciary Committee approved impeachment charges of abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, leading the White House to argue that the president “never stops working and continues to make successful deals that benefit this country.”

In Beijing, officials said at a briefing that if the Trump administration reduces its tariffs, China will lower its trade penalties on American goods and also scrap plans for new tariffs Sunday.

The world's two biggest economies are battling over the industries of the future and the way China does business — an unorthodox mix of capitalism and state control.

The administration accuses China of cheating in its drive to develop such advanced technologies as driver-less cars and artificial intelligence. The administration alleges — and independent analysts generally agree — that China steals technology, forces foreign companies to hand over trade secrets, unfairly subsidizes its own firms and throws up bureaucratic hurdles for foreign rivals.

Beijing rejects the accusations and contends that Washington is simply trying to suppress a rising competitor in international trade.

Since July 2018, the Trump administration has imposed a series of trade sanctions on China, sometimes changing or delaying planned tariff rates.

Friday's announcement means the U.S. will still continue to impose 25% import taxes on $250 billion in Chinese goods and will halve the tariffs on a separate $112 billion to 7.5%. It will drop plans to target an additional $160 billion. That step would have extended the tariffs to just about everything China sells the United States and would have hit consumer items such as toys and smartphones that have so far largely been spared.

Beijing has retaliated by taxing $120 billion in U.S. exports, including soybeans and other farm products that are vital to many of Trump's supporters in rural America.

Rob Atkinson, president of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, said “the agreement represents progress'' but said "the United States must still comprehensively address China's rampant innovation mercantilist practices.''

Mary Lovely, a trade economist at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said it''s unlikely that Friday's deal delivers enough benefits for the U.S. to outweigh the costs of the trade fight so far.

U.S. farmers lost billions of dollars in income, companies paid billions in tariffs and in many cases shifted their supply chains, and consumers saw some prices increase.

"Many of us are highly skeptical that the agreement will be enough to outweigh these other costs," Lovely said. "The U.S. didn't move the needle very much."

Still, the agreement should help smooth some of the uncertainty surrounding global trade, Lovely said.

"We have a cease-fire, we have some roll back, that is very significant," she said. “We were kind of on a brink here, and we saw the negotiators pull us back.”

Lighthizer said the Phase 1 agreement addressed one of the key U.S. concerns: Ensuring that a deal can be enforced. The Trump administration and other critics say China has a long history of violating its promises. Friday's deal establishes a dispute resolution process. If a complaint isn't resolved, the aggrieved party can impose sanctions, including tariffs.

“A skeptic would say, ‘We’ll see,'" Lighthizer said. “And that's probably a wise position to take. But our expectation is that they'll keep their obligations. And in any event, they're enforceable.''

Repeated rounds of negotiations had failed to achieve a substantive deal. The prolonged uncertainty over Trump's trade policies curtailed U.S. business investment and likely held back economic growth. Many corporations have slowed or suspended investment plans until they know when, how or even whether the trade standoff will end.

A far-reaching agreement on China's technology policies will likely prove difficult. It would require Beijing to scale back its drive to become a global powerhouse in industrial high technology, something it sees as a path to prosperity and international influence.

“This deal would amount to a modest de-escalation of trade hostilities but hardly resolves the fundamental trade and economic tensions that are dampening business sentiment and investment in both countries," said Eswar Prasad, an economist at Cornell University and former head of the International Monetary Fund's China division.

Efforts to acquire foreign technology are a theme that runs through Chinese law and government. Security researchers have asserted that Beijing operates a network of research institutes and business parks to turn stolen foreign technology into commercial products.

The Trump administration has been seeking a way to enforce any significant trade agreement with China, reflecting its contention that Beijing has violated past promises. One way to do is to retain some tariffs as leverage.

__

Associated Press writers Christopher Rugaber and Darlene Superville in Washington and Joe McDonald in Beijing contributed to this report.

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週日 12月 15, 2019 9:13 am

2019-12-15_09h01_40.png
2019-12-15_09h01_40.png (187.13 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次
2019-12-15_09h06_20.png
2019-12-15_09h06_20.png (522.16 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次
2019-12-15_09h03_35.jpg
2019-12-15_09h03_35.jpg (86.68 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次
2019-12-15_09h03_50.jpg
2019-12-15_09h03_50.jpg (80.11 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次
2019-12-15_08h58_38.jpg
2019-12-15_08h58_38.jpg (124.84 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次
美中敲定首階段協議 美警告:不守信將採取行動
美國把中共國當慣匪般羞辱警告,習近平也能接受?
2019-12-15_09h04_27.jpg
2019-12-15_09h04_27.jpg (60.08 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次
2019-12-15_09h07_46.jpg
2019-12-15_09h07_46.jpg (54.94 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次
2019-12-15_09h08_31.jpg
2019-12-15_09h08_31.jpg (61.05 KiB) 已瀏覽 1003 次


北京重大讓步!美中還會脫鉤嗎?

中共商務部召開記者會,表示雙方談判已經就第一階段協議文本達成共識,美國分階段取消關稅 。不過中方尚未證實如何採購、採購多少美國農產品。
幾乎與此同時,川普 發推文說,美方已經同意同中方達成「一項非常大的第一階段協議」。中方同意許多結構性改變,並購買大量農產品、能源和工業製品以及更多。「25%的關稅將保持不變,其餘的15%的關稅減半」。貿易代表辦公室也發聲明表示,同中方達成了一項「歷史性的、且可執行性的協議」
北京作出重大讓步,使美中#貿易談判 向前進了一步。但外界認為,美中最終的結局仍然無力改變:美中脫鉤已經成了必然。

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週日 12月 15, 2019 3:39 pm

美參院司法委員會主席:將迅速結束彈劾程序
2019-12-15
20191215125207781_看图王.web.jpg
20191215125207781_看图王.web.jpg (35.56 KiB) 已瀏覽 999 次

美國參議院司法委員會主席、南卡羅來納州共和黨人林賽·格雷厄姆(Lindsey Graham)周六(12月14日)承諾,將幫助參議院「迅速結束」彈劾程序,因為眾議院投票彈劾川普(川普)總統的可能性越來越大,該彈劾可能最終將在參議院進行審判。

據華盛頓《國會山報》(The Hill)報導,格雷厄姆在卡達的多哈論壇(Doha Forum)上對美國有線電視新聞網(CNN)表示:「這件事情會提交到參議院,但它很快就會結束,我會盡我所能讓它儘快結束。」
格雷厄姆補充說:「我正試圖發出一個非常明確的信號,我已經下定了決心。我不是在假裝自己是個公平的陪審員,但我認為,今天所發生的事情只是黨派之爭的胡說八道。」

當被問及美國總統向外國政府尋求幫助是否合適時,比如川普總統要求烏克蘭總統調查前美國副總統喬·拜登(Joe Biden)及其兒子的腐敗問題時,格雷厄姆回答說,他認為這是合適的。

格雷厄姆解釋說:「喬·拜登是一位親密的朋友。我和喬·拜登曾走遍世界。他是民主黨的總統候選人,我認為他會做得很好。」「但底線是,他的兒子每月從由烏克蘭最腐敗的傢伙經營的一家天然氣公司那裡收取5萬美元,在他們突擊搜查該公司總裁的家大約兩個月後,他們(在拜登的壓力下)解僱了烏克蘭的檢察官。是的,我認為談論這類事情是應該的。」

在他發表上述言論之前,眾議院司法委員會(House Judiciary Committee)投票通過了彈劾條款,指責川普濫用權力和阻撓國會,為下周的全體議員投票做好了準備。

如果眾議院投票做出彈劾川普的決定,隨後將由參議院對此進行審判,然後投票決定,川普是否會被免職。根據相關法律,需要有參議院三分之二的議員投票支持,才能將總統免職。

去年9月,一名爆料者聲稱川普總統曾在一個電話會談中要求烏克蘭總統沃洛德米爾·澤倫斯基(Volodymyr Zelensky)調查拜登父子。此事被曝光後,眾議院對川普啟動了彈劾調查。

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週二 12月 17, 2019 12:47 pm

2019-12-17_12h50_40.jpg
2019-12-17_12h50_40.jpg (156.35 KiB) 已瀏覽 992 次


Trump's personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani returns to Fox News claiming he has proof that impeachment is a 'cover-up' and explains why he was recently in Ukraine.

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週二 12月 17, 2019 5:13 pm

美中貿易休戰別高興太早!美銀美林:美大選後恐再升級
20191217124950631_看图王.web.jpg
20191217124950631_看图王.web.jpg (85.74 KiB) 已瀏覽 988 次

美中官方13日宣布達成第1階段貿易協議,雙方的貿易緊張關係出現緩解。不過美銀美林16日發布報告表示,現在就斷定美中貿易戰降溫能持續下去還言之過早,在美國總統大選登場之前的美中貿易休戰期未必能風平浪靜,而雙方的貿易緊張關係在大選之後可能會再度升溫。

《路透》報導,該報告認為,美中第1階段貿易協議若能落實,將可達至可預見的停火期,有助穩定全球貿易環境,不過從現在起至簽署正式協議期間,法律及行政過程是否都能正確執行、雙邊貿易是否會馬上反彈仍有待觀察,此外,如美國對華為禁售令等敏感議題,並不在第1階段協議內,中國增加進口的目標可能會受到威脅。

報告還指出,中國承諾明年購買價值逾400億美元的美國農產品,但以中國2012年、2014年進口287億美元美國農產品的高峰值來說,儘管並非沒有可能,但要進口400億美元以上美國農產品仍較為困難。

至於中方承諾在未來2年增購2000億美元美國商品與服務,報告預計,這代表2020年和2021年中國從美國的進口總值將實現56%的年成長。

報告最後示警,美中雙方做出讓步,達成停火協議值得稱許,但相信2國的爭論和辯論在2020年很可能不會消失,而貿易和科技戰恐將在美國總統大選後再度升級。

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週五 12月 20, 2019 9:02 am

2019-12-20_09h04_54.png
2019-12-20_09h04_54.png (94.55 KiB) 已瀏覽 959 次
2019-12-20_09h04_33.jpg
2019-12-20_09h04_33.jpg (116.64 KiB) 已瀏覽 959 次

評:民主黨發動彈劾特朗普是政治鬧劇,在民主黨席位佔多數的眾議院通過是政黨之爭的政治動機,不是法律層面的通過是無意義的。
這彈劾案不會在參議院通過,必定會失敗告終。

美國選民絕大多數不支持通過彈劾特朗普。民主黨將付出巨大的政治代價,
眾議院通過彈劾後,民調顯示特朗普反而上升17%
2019-12-20_19h38_29.jpg
2019-12-20_19h38_29.jpg (82.67 KiB) 已瀏覽 947 次
2019-12-20_19h47_16.png
2019-12-20_19h47_16.png (274.38 KiB) 已瀏覽 946 次

editorial
文章: 17252
註冊時間: 週五 7月 20, 2012 2:08 pm

Re: 中美貿易戰只是剛剛開始 P20 /特朗普不狂P8

文章editorial » 週五 12月 20, 2019 1:26 pm

川普說了,這是中共最後一次機會,否則就會動用除關稅之外的所有手段對付中共
菲律賓出動軍隊佔領所有爭議島礁,南海強拆正式從打口炮進入動手階段?


回到「公開討論區」

誰在線上

正在瀏覽這個版面的使用者:editorial, Google [Bot] 和 69 位訪客